The short version. Across 300 stratified insurance prompts and 1,500 model responses in Q2 2026, Nationwide recorded the lowest top-3 rate and the lowest average position score of any brand in the published AIVI™ top ten. When an answer engine names Nationwide, it names it late. Nationwide finished fifth anyway, on 1,445.84 Visibility Points, because it converts those late mentions into recommendations and citations at a rate no other large carrier in the study matches.

Everything below is derived from the published Q2 2026 dataset. No proprietary instrumentation, no private access, no relationship with the company. The point of a public teardown is that a reader can check it, so every number here is reproducible from the open data files linked at the end of the page.

1. The prominence floor

AIVI™ measures placement two ways. Top-3 rate is the share of a brand’s mentions landing in the first three positions of an answer, and it carries 5% of the composite. Position weighting, at 20%, is the finer-grained version: a score in which a higher number means the brand appears earlier in the response. Nationwide is last in the top ten on both.

Nationwide's top-3 rate and average position score against the AIVI top tenTwo ranked panels sharing one row order, ordered by AIVI rank. Left panel: top-3 rate, where Nationwide is lowest in the top ten at 46.4 percent. Right panel: average position score, where Nationwide is again lowest at 2.67. Nationwide sits in row five of ten despite holding the shortest bar in both panels.Top-3 rateshare of mentions landing in the first three positionsAverage position scorehigher means earlier placement in the answer1. State Farm79.9%3.732. Progressive3. USAA4. GEICO5. Nationwide46.4%2.676. Allstate7. Travelers8. The Hartford9. Chubb10. Amica66.9%3.40090%04.00
Shortest bar in both panels, fifth row of ten. Rows are ordered by AIVI™ rank, so a brand whose placement matched its standing would show bars stepping down the page. Nationwide holds the lowest top-3 rate and the lowest average position score in the published top ten while ranking fifth on the composite. Panels use independent scales.
Data table
Top-3 rate and average position score, Q2 2026 AIVI™ top 10, ordered by AIVI™ rank. Position score runs higher-is-earlier. Panels use different scales; values are direct.
Brand (AIVI™ rank)Top-3 rateAvg. position score
1. State Farm79.9%3.73
2. Progressive58.4%2.91
3. USAA56.3%3.10
4. GEICO75.1%3.50
5. Nationwide46.4%2.67
6. Allstate55.8%2.87
7. Travelers59.4%2.99
8. The Hartford88.1%3.99
9. Chubb60.7%3.24
10. Amica66.9%3.40

The numbers are 46.43% and 2.67. The next-lowest top-3 rate in the top ten belongs to Allstate at 55.80%, so the gap between worst and second-worst is 9.37 points — wider than the 4.91-point band that holds the next five brands together, Allstate at 55.80% through Chubb at 60.71%. Against a top-ten median top-3 rate of 60.06% and a median position score of 3.17, Nationwide is not marginally behind on placement. It is the floor.

This is the exact inverse of the first teardown in this series. The Hartford holds the highest top-3 rate in the study, 88.06%, and rank eight overall. Nationwide holds the lowest in the top ten and rank five. Placed side by side the two profiles establish something the composite is trying to say and that a single-metric dashboard cannot: where a brand appears in the answer is not what decides whether the answer is worth anything to it.

2. What we measured, and what we did not

This section is deliberately placed before the analysis rather than after it.

  • Public model outputs only. Every figure comes from organic brand mentions in responses generated by ChatGPT, Gemini, Perplexity, Copilot, and Claude. No advertising data, no analytics access, no internal reporting from any carrier.
  • No client relationship. Brainpan.AI has no commercial relationship with Nationwide. The company was not contacted, did not participate, and did not review this page. It appears here because it is the clearest case in the Q2 2026 top ten of a composite result being carried by something other than reach or placement.
  • Organic-only, first-mention attribution. Sponsored placements and paid surfaces are excluded. Where a response names several brands, attribution follows the first-mention rule described in the methodology.
  • A sample, not a census. One quarter, 300 stratified prompts, 1,500 model responses. Prompt sets, model versions, and retrieval behavior all move between quarters. Treat quarter-over-quarter movement as directional until a second cycle confirms it.
  • Open data, CC BY 4.0. The underlying benchmark is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. Reuse it, check it, disagree with it in public.

Two derived measures appear below. Visibility Points are the sum of position, recommendation, and citation scores; the line-of-business totals in section 6 are computed inside a single line and are not normalized 0–100 AIVI™ scores, so they should not be compared across lines of different sizes. Recommendation points weight a strong recommendation at 5 and a moderate one at 3. Both weightings, and the direction of the position score, are set out in the versioned methodology.

3. Eighty-two placements behind, two points behind

The cheapest way to price what placement is actually worth is to put Nationwide next to the brand one rank above it. GEICO is the study’s clearest prominence performer outside The Hartford: it converts three-quarters of its mentions into top-three positions and places materially earlier in the answer when it appears.

Nationwide and GEICO across the AIVI™ components, Q2 2026. Visibility Points and AIVI™ scores are as published.
MeasureNationwideGEICOAhead
Organic mentions252265GEICO
Share of model5.8%6.1%GEICO
Top-3 placements117199GEICO
Top-3 rate46.4%75.1%GEICO
Average position score2.673.50GEICO
Recommendation rate41.3%42.6%GEICO
Recommendation points416405Nationwide
Strong recommendations5233Nationwide
Citations11994Nationwide
Citation rate47.2%35.5%Nationwide
Visibility Points1,445.841,614.50GEICO
AIVI™ score63.465.7GEICO

GEICO wins eight of the twelve rows, including every placement row and every reach row, and it does so decisively — 82 more top-three placements on only 13 more mentions, and a top-3 rate 28.66 points higher. The composite gap at the foot of the table is 2.26 AIVI™ points.

Nationwide takes the other four rows: 11 more recommendation points, 19 more strong recommendations, 25 more citations, and a citation rate 11.75 points higher. Four line items against eight, and the net of the whole table is 2.26 points.

The same arithmetic runs the other way one rank below. Allstate is named 24 more times than Nationwide, holds more share of model, lands 37 more top-three placements, posts a top-3 rate 9.37 points higher, and places earlier on average — and finishes behind Nationwide by 6.72 Visibility Points. Nationwide is the hinge between the two profiles: it loses to the brand above it on prominence and beats the brand below it despite losing on prominence there too.

4. The corroboration engine

Citation influence carries 15% of the composite, and it is the component Nationwide owns outright.

Citation volume against citation rateTwo ranked panels sharing one row order, ordered by citation volume. Left panel: citations, where Nationwide is second at 119 behind State Farm's 129. Right panel: citation rate, where Nationwide is highest in the top ten at 47.2 percent and State Farm is lowest at 28.2 percent.Citationssource-linked citations across five engines, Q2 2026Citation rateshare of the brand’s mentions carrying a citation1. State Farm12928.2%2. Nationwide11947.2%3. Progressive4. USAA5. GEICO6. Allstate7. Travelers8. Chubb9. The Hartford10. Amica5544.4%0140050%
Second on volume, first on rate. Nationwide produced 119 citations from 252 mentions. State Farm produced 129 from 457. The right panel is the same data divided by mention count, and the two brands trade places: Nationwide holds the highest citation rate in the top ten and State Farm the lowest. Panels use independent scales.
Data table
Citations and citation rate, Q2 2026 AIVI™ top 10, ordered by citation volume. Panels use different scales; values are direct.
Brand (citation rank)CitationsCitation rate
1. State Farm12928.2%
2. Nationwide11947.2%
3. Progressive11336.7%
4. USAA10338.1%
5. GEICO9435.5%
6. Allstate8330.1%
7. Travelers7745.3%
8. Chubb6042.9%
9. The Hartford5742.5%
10. Amica5544.4%

One hundred and nineteen citations from 252 mentions. That is 92% of State Farm’s citation volume produced on 55% of State Farm’s mention volume, and it is a 47.22% citation rate against State Farm’s 28.23% — the highest and the lowest in the published top ten respectively. Against the top-ten median of 40.35%, Nationwide runs nearly seven points clear.

The comparison that matters more is against the carrier population rather than the leaderboard. Sorting the full 134-brand study cohort by entity type gives an all-carrier average of 0.278 citations per mention. Nationwide returns 0.472. It is not that Nationwide gets cited more than its peers by a visible margin; it gets cited about 1.7 times as often per mention as the average carrier in the study, while carrying the sixth-largest mention base in it.

Recommendation strength, at 25% of the composite, points the same direction. Nationwide’s 104 recommended mentions split exactly 52 strong and 52 moderate — 416 recommendation points, third in the top ten at 1.651 per mention, behind only USAA and Amica. Both of those brands are working from a smaller base. Among the six brands in the study with more than 250 mentions, only USAA returns more recommendation value per mention than Nationwide does.

5. Cited, and independently backed

A citation rate on its own can be manufactured. The benchmark separates raw citation from independently backed citation — the share of a brand’s mentions carrying a citation that survives a self-citation filter, meaning a source that is not the brand citing itself. That distinction is where most of the raw citation leaderboard falls apart.

Citation rate against independently backed citation rateTwo ranked panels sharing one row order, ordered by citation rate. Rows 1 to 3 are publisher domains; rows 4 to 9 are carriers. Left panel: share of mentions that get cited, led by the three publisher domains at 100.0, 97.0 and 53.2 percent. Right panel: share of mentions carrying a citation that survives the self-citation filter, where the three publishers fall to 27.9, 18.2 and 7.3 percent while the six carriers hold nearly their full left-panel value. Nationwide is the highest-cited carrier at 47.2 percent and retains 43.3 percent independently backed.Gets citedshare of mentions carrying any citationIndependently backedshare surviving the self-citation filter1. MoneyGeek100.0%27.9%2. Bankrate3. NerdWallet4. Nationwide47.2%43.3%5. Travelers6. Amica7. Chubb8. Erie9. USAA38.1%35.6%0100%050%
Publisher citations mostly do not survive the filter; carrier citations do. Rows 1–3 — MoneyGeek, Bankrate and NerdWallet — are publisher domains; rows 4–9 are carriers. The left panel is raw citation rate, and those three publisher domains own the top of it. The right panel removes self-citation, and the publishers collapse while the carriers barely move. Nationwide is the highest-cited carrier in the set and keeps 43.3 of its 47.2 points. Panels use independent scales.
Data table
Citation rate and independently backed rate for the nine entities published in Finding 04, Q2 2026, ordered by citation rate. Rows 1–3 are publisher domains; rows 4–9 are carriers. Panels use different scales; values are direct.
Entity (citation-rate rank)Gets citedIndependently backed
1. MoneyGeek100.0%27.9%
2. Bankrate97.0%18.2%
3. NerdWallet53.2%7.3%
4. Nationwide47.2%43.3%
5. Travelers45.3%41.2%
6. Amica44.4%43.5%
7. Chubb42.9%37.1%
8. Erie39.5%39.5%
9. USAA38.1%35.6%

Three publisher domains hold the top of the raw citation panel: MoneyGeek at 100.0%, Bankrate at 97.0%, NerdWallet at 53.2%. On the right panel they fall to 27.9%, 18.2% and 7.3%. NerdWallet retains under a seventh of its own citation rate once self-citation is removed. The six carriers in the published set retain nearly all of theirs.

Nationwide is the highest-cited carrier in that set and keeps 43.3 of its 47.2 points, a retention of 92%. Only Amica, on less than half the mention base, holds a marginally higher independently backed rate at 43.5%. What the two panels together describe is a brand that answer engines reach past on placement and reach for on evidence: when a model needs to source an insurance claim, Nationwide is disproportionately the carrier a third party has already vouched for.

That is worth stating precisely, because it is the diagnosis this page exists to make. Nationwide’s fifth place is not built on being seen first. It is built on being the brand the answer is willing to stand behind.

6. Where the visibility is over-earned

Aggregate share of model says how much of the category a brand holds. Benchmarking that share against real-world premium tells you whether it is earned. The study compares AI visibility share against NAIC 2025 market share for every brand-and-line pair it can, and publishes the five most over-represented.

The five most over-represented brand-and-line pairs in the study, AI visibility share against NAIC 2025 market share, Q2 2026.
RankBrand and lineAI visibility shareNAIC market shareRatio
1Amica — Home7.6%0.7%10.8×
2The Hartford — Commercial24.8%2.5%9.9×
3Nationwide — Auto7.8%1.1%7.1×
4Mutual of Omaha — Life8.8%1.4%6.1×
5Nationwide — Commercial8.6%2.0%4.2×

Nationwide is the only brand in the study appearing twice on that list. Its Auto visibility runs 7.1× its NAIC Auto market share and its Commercial visibility 4.2× its Commercial share. Every other brand on the over-represented list is over-represented in exactly one line, and no brand appears twice on the under-represented list either except Farmers.

Published top-five Visibility Points by line of business, Q2 2026. Visibility Points are the sum of position, recommendation, and citation scores inside a single line, and are not comparable across lines.
RankAutoHomeCommercial
1GEICO — 779State Farm — 584The Hartford — 598
2State Farm — 677Allstate — 429Hiscox — 322
3Progressive — 607USAA — 361Travelers — 281
4USAA — 460Chubb — 282Progressive — 222
5Nationwide — 293Amica — 233Chubb — 214

The two tables have to be read together, because they say different things. Nationwide is fifth in Auto on 293 Visibility Points — a real position in the largest line reported. In Commercial it is over-represented against market share by 4.2× and still does not reach the published top five, which The Hartford leads on 598 points. Over-representation is a statement about ratio, not about rank: it means the models name Nationwide far more often than its book of business would predict, not that it wins the line.

Read against sections 4 and 5, the shape of the profile is consistent. Nationwide is being retrieved and endorsed above its commercial weight in two lines at once, and is doing it while placed later in the answer than any peer in the top ten. Whatever is generating that outcome is operating on the evidence layer, not the visibility layer.

7. Strategic diagnostic priorities

Four moves follow from the data above. They are stated as diagnostic direction rather than as an execution plan — sequencing, prompt targets, and content specification are what an audit produces, and they depend on inputs no public dataset contains. The operating frameworks that carry that work — content standard, technical foundation, publishing protocol, and monthly cadence — are published in full at Brainpan.AI frameworks.

Protect the citation asset before optimizing anything else

The highest citation rate in the top ten, with 92% of it surviving the self-citation filter, is the single hardest thing on this page to build and the easiest to lose. It depends on third-party sources that already reference the brand and on retrieval continuing to reach them. The first diagnostic is not a growth question at all: it is an inventory of which independent domains are actually carrying the citations, how concentrated that set is, and what happens to the rate if the top two disappear.

Treat placement as the isolated defect it is

A brand cited more per mention than any peer, and recommended more strongly than any brand of comparable size, is not failing to be understood. It is failing to be reached early. That is a retrieval-order problem — how quickly the material that names the brand is surfaced against a query — and it is diagnosed against specific prompt families rather than against the site as a whole. The 9.37-point gap to the next-lowest top-3 rate is the size of the prize.

Close the Commercial gap between share and standing

Commercial is the line where the two tables disagree most: 4.2× over-represented against market share, absent from the top five on Visibility Points. That combination almost always means broad, shallow presence — named in many answers, decisive in few. Commercial buyers ask situational questions, and whether a carrier is decisive for them depends on publishing against those situations rather than against a product taxonomy.

Do not read the Auto ratio as headroom

A 7.1× over-representation in Auto is the most flattering number on this page and the most easily misused. It describes a lead over a market-share baseline, not a lead over competitors: GEICO, State Farm, Progressive, and USAA all sit above Nationwide on Auto Visibility Points, three of them by more than double. The ratio is a reason to defend the position, not evidence that the line is solved.

8. Data, method, and corrections

All figures are drawn from the Q2 2026 AIVI™ Insurance Benchmark, a study of 134 evaluated carriers across 300 stratified prompts and 1,500 model responses on five engines, producing 4,328 organic brand mentions and 1,742 organic citations. The independently backed figures in section 5 are the nine entities published in Finding 04 of the benchmark.

AIVI™ is an organic-only, first-brand-mention composite of share of model (35%), recommendation strength (25%), position weighting (20%), citation influence (15%), and top-three rate (5%), normalized so the category leader scores 100. The position score runs higher-is-earlier: a larger number means the brand appeared closer to the start of the answer. Recommendation points weight a strong recommendation at 5 and a moderate recommendation at 3. The top-ten machine-readable dataset is published at /api/aivi/insurance/q2-2026/top10.json and the per-brand record at /api/aivi/insurance/q2-2026/brands/nationwide.json, both under CC BY 4.0.

The controlling rules behind every number above — prompt-set construction, attribution, the component weights, and the known limitations — are published in the versioned AIVI™ methodology and correction policy. Prompt design follows the generative-engine framing set out in Aggarwal et al., GEO: Generative Engine Optimization (KDD 2024). The published dataset is declared as a schema.org Dataset under CC BY 4.0, and the carrier universe is framed against the National Association of Insurance Commissioners record.

If any figure on this page is wrong, we would like to know. Corrections go to kwalsh@brainpan.ai and are handled under the published correction policy — acknowledged in two business days, determined in ten, and applied to the page with a dated note rather than silently.

See all 134 carriers, not just the top ten

This teardown uses the ten brands published openly. The full Insurance AI Visibility Index ranks every one of the 134 evaluated carriers on the same five components, with category leaderboards, engine-level breakdowns, and the complete prompt-set methodology — $3,500, one-time, delivered within one business day.

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Kevin Walsh, Founder of Brainpan.AI

Written and reviewed by

Kevin Walsh

Kevin Walsh is the founder of Brainpan.AI, where he builds the AI Visibility Engine, GEO/AEO strategy, schema systems, and citation optimization programs for brands that need to be retrieved, cited, and trusted by AI answer engines.